Writing

Analysis and briefings.

Longer analysis sits alongside shorter briefings on political, regulatory, technological, and market developments.

Analysis 4

01Europe's Sub-Threshold Russia Problem Is a Business Continuity Issue28 September 20263 min readCybersecurity & digital governance · Trade, geopolitics & European security · Public affairs & political risk↗02The EU's China Dependency Is a Portfolio Risk, Not Just a Trade Story16 September 20263 min readTrade, geopolitics & European security · Public affairs & political risk↗03The Houthis Aren't Blockading the Red Sea, They're Targeting One Flag14 September 20263 min readTrade, geopolitics & European security · Crisis communications & reputational risk↗04Zambia Chose Investor Stability Over a Windfall Tax, and the Test Lands Today17 August 20264 min readTrade, geopolitics & European security · Public affairs & political risk↗

Briefings 6

01Labour's vague 'cost of business' language leaves UK executives guessing ahead of the Budget30 September 20261 min readPublic affairs & political risk · Trade, geopolitics & European security↗02US Treasury yields spike as Iran signals openness to talks24 September 20261 min readTrade, geopolitics & European security↗03Trump rejects the UK's push for global AI safety guidelines23 September 20261 min readAI governance & regulation · Trade, geopolitics & European security · Public affairs & political risk↗04A Kremlin-backed fintech moved $6.9 billion through global banks to dodge sanctions22 September 20261 min readTrade, geopolitics & European security · Public affairs & political risk↗05Germany's Merz vows to stay on despite a "disaster" election result21 September 20261 min readPublic affairs & political risk · Trade, geopolitics & European security↗06Fed raises interest rates for the first time in three years17 September 20261 min readTrade, geopolitics & European security↗

Methodology

The site separates longer analysis from shorter briefings. Each piece works from primary sources, including government statements, consultations, filings, and designation lists, and develops a clear argument from the evidence.

AI tools assist with initial research and drafting on longer pieces. Every piece is then rewritten, fact-checked against primary sources, and edited before publication, nothing goes live without that review. AI isn't going away, and pretending otherwise helps no one; what matters is the choices made about how it's used, and this site is one example of using it deliberately and transparently rather than hiding it.